Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 409.044332 464.049238 524.863003 597.281968 681.424285 776.405177 892.158731
2026-01-25 320.581958 391.248452 476.237414 586.752787 727.783450 903.230352 1140.351333
2026-02-01 282.500487 361.759014 462.566216 601.708306 791.165184 1043.593312 1411.241569
2026-02-08 249.238384 331.505842 440.895126 599.318094 826.772214 1147.593272 1645.347374
2026-02-15 222.528740 305.530141 420.103409 592.970361 852.771367 1237.918755 1869.961074
2026-02-22 204.141285 288.375909 408.637889 596.978728 892.193148 1350.595377 2143.778987
2026-03-01 185.334523 268.291185 390.226167 587.490404 908.345314 1427.517142 2369.766333
2026-03-08 170.778253 252.856425 376.794434 583.469281 931.545982 1517.265556 2630.257174
2026-03-15 154.305925 232.864543 354.231639 561.932629 922.396544 1549.975941 2791.654953
2026-03-22 148.573668 229.035973 356.569509 581.299557 984.859841 1715.471831 3230.348430
2026-03-29 144.151615 226.806538 361.090819 604.533187 1056.555423 1907.135181 3755.405943
2026-04-05 136.264760 218.154839 354.029555 606.439440 1088.871209 2027.819918 4154.364993
2026-04-12 126.373077 205.558753 339.510683 594.016256 1093.709507 2097.473376 4461.656841
2026-04-19 117.597387 194.217697 326.259659 582.655654 1099.396745 2170.046106 4791.476975
2026-04-26 113.649195 190.932258 326.931827 597.605634 1159.640027 2366.344815 5457.131137
2026-05-03 107.580250 183.381860 319.175948 595.219962 1183.366014 2485.898699 5957.166182
2026-05-10 101.535098 175.413795 309.966509 588.923790 1197.783015 2586.180299 6428.712828
2026-05-17 97.309717 170.469852 306.023089 592.900502 1235.137684 2745.728172 7098.959398
2026-05-24 91.816291 162.762472 296.154850 583.486576 1240.970176 2829.586197 7572.878803
2026-05-31 87.382485 156.762851 289.157828 579.496914 1258.862445 2946.339210 8173.409944
2026-06-07 81.392036 147.384238 274.782777 558.128230 1232.927464 2946.276407 8412.110930
2026-06-14 80.089326 147.051641 278.578379 577.344155 1308.022419 3226.057451 9626.965709
2026-06-21 79.187004 147.435523 283.844792 600.395645 1395.821609 3556.499360 11113.100402